UTCI Classification Model




Year: 2023
Course: OEB 137: Experimental Design and Statistics for Ecology
Instructor: Benton Taylor , Calvin Heslop (TF)
Course: Introduction to Generative Artificial Intelligence 
Instructor: Sabrina Osmany


This project explores the potential of urban vegetation in mitigating heat stress in urban environments using a single-dimensional variable for thermal comfort, the Universal Thermal Climate Index (UTCI). This research acknowledges the increasing concern about climate change and urban heat island (UHI) effects and their physiological impacts on humans. UTCI is a function of ambient air temperature, mean radiant temperature, humidity, and wind velocity—all factors that interact with vegetation on a site. As such, the experiment aims to provide a multi-dimensional understanding of the relationship between trees and their indirect effects on UTCI in a generic site. Utilizing tools like Ladybug and Grasshopper plugins for Rhinoceros 3D, one thousand simulations were conducted to observe the impact of varying tree counts on the mean UTCI in a virtual 50x50 meter plot set in a downtown Manhattan climate. The study demonstrated a nonlinear negative correlation between increases in tree counts and decreases in UTCI. Temperatures outside of the comfort range approached the comfortable thresholds with the additions of trees. 

A convolutional neural network model was then successfully trained to classify these simulation images into bins of tree counts, showing promising results for future applications of machine learning in urban microclimatic research.